Archive through April 09, 2022
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Archive through April 09, 2022
C28 Op move has been done.
First - Eco - an expensive turn
Lyrans built 2 x CW, 3 x DW, 3 x FF and converted a DN to SCS - plus spent 44 Ep's on repairs.
Klingons built a C8S (the only C8's alive are in in Romulan space!), 5 x F5 and 4 x E4 - plus 47 Eps pn repairs. No D5's built!
Romulans 0built a SPE, 2 x SP, SPH, 2 x SK, SKB and a SN and spent 22.5 Ep's on Repairs.
Attacks - again - Gorn space was ignored.
Hydran front has 3 battles.
Kzinti front has 6 battles - including major attacks on both 1001 and 1802 to recapture them.
Federation space sees the most battles - again pretty much the whole Western and Southern Sectors are underattack.
In Romulan space - the main action is around 4309.
Feds have 1 reserves, Kzinti have 2 reserves and Hydrans also 2 reserves which can move.
We live in interesting times!
Doh!
Thats why I hadn't moved the FRD back forward.
A Hydran RN drops on the Lyran TGP+FRD as it reserves around the front - which I hadn't seen occuring.
Could have had a single crippled cw (ao doesn't alter pining) there which would have made it -1 v -3 fight rather than -4 v -2!
I did see lots of risks on the Federation and Romulan front (half way through the movement - so I avoided any major blunders, but the main plan did get revised) - but didn't see the FRD risk!
Alliance reserves went to 1803 (rescue a small Kzinti fleet), 2103 (reinforce the SB) and 3717 (rescue a small Fed Fleet) - plus 117, 316 (and 318 pinning) in Hydran space.
318 will be resolved first then.
Well, another 6 rolled for a persuit (in effect a Fed FFS survived because I failed).... but I did kill the last remaining Alliance Mauler (D6M), which allowed the CVS and FFS to escape.
My FRD just about lived against the RN raider... will need to check ALL fronts next time for overrun attacks (I only really did that for the Kzinti and Fed Fronts).
Damage so far
Lyrans - crippled CW
Klingons - crippled 3 x D5
Rom - KR killed (and another capture for the Gorns )
Federation F-D6M and NCL killed
Gorn DD and DE killed
Capture rolls only go one way!!
Well, I think it's fair to say my dice luck goes from bad to worse.
And it's killing the Coalition.
Last 7 persuit dice attempts - Coalition has rolled 5 6's!
So for just this turn - thats basically 3 Alliance ships not killed (the FFS and the two crippled FF's which just escaped with the last failure).
A similar persuit saw 2 Romulans die.
Over a longer dice period - it's 11 6's out of 30 rolls and 20 out of 59 (I would have thought there would have been more - but 59 Coalition persuit tolls is all that has been recorded - .153 Allinace peruist rolls and 30 6's for William - so he is a couple above average too (but not +100%!).
I really do need to get a break or two with the dice.
(Combat dice any better - SSC is 5 v 7 and normal dice 2.9 v 3.5!)
It just sucks to roll poorly and for such an extended time period.
I suspect what is killing the Coalition is operator error, or a more skilled opponent. :p
Richard
I would nearly fully agree - William has done some really good moves.
The sneak attack on the FRD for example.
But equally, I have pulled off some pretty good operations myself - and the dice have been the only reason a total success wasn't achieved.
(Always difficult to say that in combat with dice, but if your rolling over double the normal failure rate consistently, it's probably a fair comment?))
I don't believe your dice overall are so horrible. It's just your thing you have said for years when you see bad dice in a bad place. I generally do not hold with blaming a poor position in F&E on the dice.
Richard
I totally agree, it is possible to see subconsciously 'more than that is there', but I think it's fair to say, rolling marginally more than double the average of 6s in pursuits can be described as unlucky - or generally never rolling enough in Small Scale Combat for kill something (when your opponent generally does) 'is not horrible'?
How many dice need to be rolled to show someone is statically 'unlucky'?
Is further evidence needed?
Dead this turn
Alliance 14 Dead Ships - Coalition have captured 0
Coalition 8 Dead Ships - Alliance have captured 2 (and the better ones - a D7 and KR!)
So on persuits - I am outside 3 Standard Deviation Variations on 6's rolled.
I have no idea what the Alliance is on captures - but I would probably say even more unlikely on captures for the game (and I am probably around 3 Standard the other way)?
Well, dice continue to not like me!
SSC Averages are 6 v 8 - although I did finally kill a ship (and then a second ship!) - although the 3rd +4 battle I rolled a 3 in - so the FF didn't even get crippled.
Have caught up abit on normal combat dice (was 2.9 v 3.5 - now 3.33 v 3.37).
Alliance 18 Dead Ships - Coalition have captured 0
Coalition 12 Dead Ships - Alliance have captured 2
So Coalition still can't capture anything - and somehow the Alliance have killed 4 ships and not captured anything more!!
Well C28 has ended as is started - with some more dead ships.
Fortunately no more captures!
Dead are
Lyrans STT, CW, 2 x DW, FF
Klingons 2 x D7C, 2 x F5 - plus a D7 captured (by the Tholians - may be relevant!!!)
Romulans - FH, SP, SPF, 2 x SK, SNB , BHE plus a KR was captured
Kzinti BC
Hydrans RN, CU, SC
Federation K-D6M, 2 x NCL, 5 x FF
Gorn 2 x BC, 2 x DD, DE plus a FRD and 2 CP's spent
Tholians - (Anyone want to be a Tholian???) - 2 x DN, PFT, BW, SC.
So 18 Coalition v 22 Alliance -dead.
With some modest luck as most of the plans did work - might have been 16 v 25 dead. But the above mentioned dice ensured that didn't happen.
Hydrans remain just about in Supply (darn RN!) - but modest amounts of Federations forces are Out of Supply.
The Klingons are also delighted that their 'lost' fleet has got back to Coalition space - the crippled C8V led force was very roughly handed on it's mission East of Orion space.
The main objective - the liberation of 4309 failed - but atleast I did get the FRD.
It looks like the Feds will once again have an EP surplus during their build step. It is an interesting question what to do with them. Options include building the 7EP DE escorts, buying an extra carrier (but not an SCS this time), building an FRD, saving them for field repairs, and idk what else. My gut is that the FRD and the field repairs are the likeliest options.
Well, C28 is pretty much finished.
Just need to do one final check on the map and then done!
Klingons Field Repair a C8V and D5P from the 'lost' fleet.
Romulans Field Repair a SP, SKF and SK.
Both need as may ships as possible in crucial areas!
I looked through my plans and for some reason, I did make a major error in executing my battle list - and swopped 2509 and 2311 over.
Net result of the 'trap' was that it allowed the Feds in 2311 to retreat to 2310 instead of 2410.... and a 18 ship equivalent Federation force, which has been forced off 1910 (with William burning alot of fighters) was allowed back in supply.
Simple error - which has created big issues.
Can't afford to make mistakes like that again!
30 Fed ships are atleast cut off in Southern Federation space (and with the Tholians wondering why they have a 100% loss in 'Allied operations' - they may not be too happy to continue - never mind always getting the short straw, it's no straw!!!! 
)
(About the only saving grace is I probably wouldn't have done much different - I had to win 1910 - so William could always take a stack of fighter losses** and I couldn't.)
The twin CVA force would have been low on Fighters at least then, as although it got 4 fighter replacements from it's escorts, it burned 30 fighters in the 1 round of battle and I had had the D7C directed on. So simple error and 26 Fighters get replaced 
Simple errors can, indeed, be deadly!
consequences of failure
Kzinti economy, turn 28
Survey roll 13
Survey total 298
Survey EP 22
Offmap 17
Provinces 4
Total 43
Percentage 0.5
Income 21.5
From last turn 0
Total Money 21.5
Repairs 8.5
Builds
CMV 7
2FF 5
Total spending 20.5
Money after Econ 1
Hydran economy, turn 28
Survey roll 12
Survey total 249
Survey EP 18
Offmap 17
Capital
Planets
Provinces 2
Total before exhaustion 37
Percentage 0.5
Income 18.5
From last turn 1.5
Total Money 20
Builds
2RN 12
2CU 5
Conversion
HN>SC 1
Total spending 18
Money after Econ 2
4CP available
Federation economy, turn 28
Survey roll 25
Survey total 439
Survey EP 28
Offmap 6
Capital 59
Planets 21
Provinces 69
NZ 3.6
Conquered 2
Income 188.6
From last turn 0.35
Total Money 188.95
Repairs
Earth 21.5
Near Earth 12
6th 11.5
9th 3.5
Subtotal 48.5
Builds
10FF, 3FFE, FFS 46
4NCL, 4NAC, NVS, NCD 58
CC 9
BC 10
TG 6
Subtotal 129
Conversion
FFS(9th) 1
Total spent 178.5
Remaining after econ 10.45
Command points: 3+1=4
Gorn economy, turn 28
Survey roll 4
Survey total 109
Survey EP 10
Offmap 12
Capital 24
Planets 9
Provinces 36
NZ 4.8
Conquered 2
Income 97.8
Percentage 0.75
Exhausted Income 73.35
From last turn -14.35
Total Money 59
Repairs
SW 3
Gdhar 2 4.5
Gdhar 3
Subtotal 7.5
Builds
BCH 12
HD, HDE 11
3DD, DDE 13
MB 10
Subtotal 46
Conversion
Offmap HD>HV 2
7CP available (spent 2 on the Coalition turn)
Tholian economy, turn 28
With savings, Tholians have enough money to spend 2EP repairing Fed ships, add homeless support for another Fed carrier, and build PFT and DN. The builds are not likely to matter.
They also have 3CP.
I'm ready to pay attention to this again. Paul check your slack.
Hi William
OK - Should be around tonight after youngest son's Beavers event
Well, it looks like the generous Alliance offered the Coalition a Bunch of Straws....and the Romulans ended up with no Strat!
About 120 Alliance Hulls appear over the Romulan capital!
Alliance probably doesn't have enough to take it (although the Gorn 'DN' line is in effect there), but certainly have a lot of options available (including cripples, Coalition have a 2 ship surplus and so part of the reserve can currently move).
Tholians was also generously given no Straws by their 'Alliance Friends' in probably their last hurrah.
Lots of movement still to be done.
Lots of movement on the Eastern True Patriach of Kzinti Space has been done with 4 planets under attack - but bulk of Fed forces are still uncommitted.
Various Federations forces in Southern Fed Space look like they will be back in supply though.
We have a Kzinti raid on 1401!!!!
...and we have found a Lyran PDU vacationing in the 408 system...
...very long story short (and alot of checking) - but it seems the Lyran PDU I built on turn 17... wasn't put on the Map - and so wasn't emplaced!
Both William and I remembered me saying Kzintai was full...but it only has 9 PDU's on it!
(Lyrans had built 13 PDU's - none had died, and 3 are on other planets)
The Senior Officer officer of the 10th PDU has therefore been shot!!
Alliance turn 28 op move is done. The main event of the turn is an assault on Romulus. The hex will not be captured. But significant damage should be done.
There is also an "assault" on Kzintai, sort of. Five attacking ships square off against four defenders, plus 9 crips. Even if it were not for the minor detail that the Coalition has an SB supported by 9PDU, this probably would not be enough to capture the hex. However, depending on reserves, the attackers may well be enough to kill some side PDUs and/or inflict Coalition crips or dead ships, possibly sending planets into rebellion.
There are also the usual plethora of province raider killing battles and the like.
The Hydrans read there Hippo-potamic Oath . . . and chose not to move at all, as they are facing a superior fleet with pretty good reserves.